A more feasible proposal

A more feasible proposal

We examined two neat examples (A pentarchy, A more interesting proposal). The only difference between them is that Western EU is split into Latin WEU and Germanic WEU. In both cases homogeneous regions were formed around the world taking into account their GDP’s. Those are the building blocs that will be used to build economic blocs. We said that this should be seen as a final destination in a few or many decades. This is much much better than ultraglobalists division of the World into continents.

There wil have to be some agreement at a top global level, perhaps United Nations, G8 or something similar.  A new Yalta agreement may arrange things in a neat way. Keep in mind that this was after a war. Without a war it may be difficult to have a new Yalta agreement. A threat of war may or may not work.We do not know how the two neat proposals will evolve. There are hostilities within regions that is hard to overcome. At the same time there are sympathies (liking) and antipathies (disliking) with other countries in other regions. It may not be possible to have the neat solutions in a thousand years.

So, we are going back to where we started. The difference is that instead of taking a few countries, we take all countries in the World, or at least those who are interested. In the Case 1 there were 35 countries and in Case 2 there were 45 countries. The World has 186 countries. We use Europe as example because there is more intergration with EU. Perhaps Crusaders do not agree to play Union in Western Europe only and proceed with their disaster.

It is been agreed among Jewish, Greek, Cyprian and Lebanese diaspora to invest a lot o money in the Region once some grouping is done outside EU and things are safe. They live mostly in USA, Canada, Australia, UK. They are not ultraglobalists and strongly despise EU buraucracy. So most likely those countries will be together. UK is looking for trading partners. They could all be in the same bloc with Australia, Canada and New Zealand. What we stated so far is valid. The rest are assumptions for the sake of example.

Now let’s assume that they go to Romania and Bulgaria and they tell them to form a Balkans & Eastern Med Region that will be part of a bigger new economic bloc. They say no! (In reality Greece is the big problem. We are just giving an example). These two countries are already members of EU. In World War II they were with Axis. Although we try to forget it, alliances made then still exist. Ties still exist among those who fought on the same side. Yugoslavia was on the Allied forces side. Most ex - Yugoslavian countries are not members of EU. The exeptions are Croatia and Slovenia. Albania is not a member of EU either. They may be interested to be in another economic bloc.

Hungary has problems with EU’s policies. They may want to gain their independence and throw off the European yoke. Let’s assume that they are interested too. Since Crusaders did not agree to be confined in Western Europe, there is no deal with them. Anything is possible, there are no rules. Italy has issues with EU bureaucracy and may want out of EU and in the new bloc. 

They all go back to Bulgaria and Romania and they still insist to remain in EU. What can they do? There is no other alternative but to form a partial region from the countries interested. Those in our example were Greece, Cyprus, Israel, Lebanon, ex - Yougoslavian countries, Hungary. They may form a bloc with UK, Austalia, New Zealand, Canada, Italy. 

The same could be true for other regions, like Northeastern Europe. Most countries are EU members but some are dissatisfied with EU policies and may want to gain their independence and throuw off European yoke. Some may want to be in a new bloc and some others to remain in EU. The same process could be applied.Only those interested participate in the new economic bloc. They will have to fight, like in a war, to liberate countries one by one. There are strong resistance movements in many EU countries against Brusel's yoke. They could cooperate with them. 

In ohter continents they will have to fight to convince them. In forming an economic bloc we will have part of a region and the rest of the region could be part of another economic bloc. Once some countries have formed their own bloc they will stop. That's all they care about. They do not care if another bloc is formed. Other countries would have to take the initiative and form another bloc. 

In the end there will be 5-7 economic blocs. In theory it may be neat to have a whole region in an economic bloc. In practice this may not be feasible now or ever. In World War II, the countries that formed the two camps were not neatly arranged around the world. Off course we are not talking about war but economic rivalry. 

Theory is neat. Unfortunately, life is not neat but rough. So those who undertake the effort of forming some additional blocs, should have in mind both final destinations, the neat one and the rough one. In both cases we have 5-7 economic blocs of equal economic size. In the neat case, homogeneous regions are formed and the whole region becomes part of an economic bloc. In the rough but more realistic case, parts of regions form economic blocs and the other parts are in other economic blocs.