Exit EU simultaneously

We need to clarify certain points regarding the Phases of Eastern European Group's development. It was mentioned that ideally preparation phase would have started. To be precise, ideally preparation would have started EVERYWHERE. Preparation has started but not every where, not in all countries of Eastern European Group. Most likely the problem is with countries in Subgroup A (EU members).

Preparation phase ends with the Groups official formation. Anything up to that time is considered preparation and then merging phase 2 starts. Group 4 can not be formed as long as countries in Subgroup A are still in European Union. It is possible for Group 4 to be formed very soon after Eastern European countries Exit EU, even the next day.

Group 4 could be formed even half an hour or ten minutes later. First countries will sign whatever is required to officially exit EU and right afterwards, they could sign whatever is needed to form Group 4. In the case of UK, there was a long period from the referendum till the official Exit. This was mostly because of disagreements inside UK and with EU.

They could actually exit the next day, if they decided to do so. So, Brexit could have happened officially on June 24th 2016, instead of January 31st 2020. There is no doubt that several matters would have to be settled. If exit happened one day after referendum, negotiations, decisions and agreements would be made after the official exit, not before. Before was probably better but after would also be possible.

In the case of Eastern European countries, there has to be a transitionary period. This could be before the official Eastern European Group's formation or after. The ideal way is as follows. All countries start preparations. Countries in Subgroup A exit EU. There is some transitional time before Group 4 will be officialy formed but it does not have to end with the group's formation.

Since there will be two subgroups inside the group, these could be handled in a different way. So transitionary period could go on for Subgroup A, after the official formation. Also because there would be two subgroups, transitory period could be entirely in Phase 2, after the Group is formed. The longer and the better the preparation for exit, the shorter the transitory period would be.

Because there could be objections from some countries in subgroup A, preparation period could last long or stated differently, Phase 1 could take much longer than required for preparation, if things were ideal. Because of that, transitory period could be entirely after the Group is officially formed. A not ideal way of preparation would be corrected with a not ideal way of subgroups merging.

Do all countries in Subgroup A have to exit simultaneously? Ideally that should happen but it is not necessary. There must be enough countries that will exit EU, not all of them. How many are enough is not defined precisely. Let's assume that all countries in Subgroup A are ready to leave EU, except five countries. We will name them Remaining Countries. The rest eight will be Exiting Countries. They should proceed and leave EU.

Exiting Countries will benefit and Remaining will be harmed because eventually they would be added to Group 4. So they will miss the chance to participate in the important decisions that would set the foundations for the Group. The Exiting Countries and Subgroup B (Russia, Belarus, Serbia, Montenegro) will decide how they want the group to be. When Remaining Countries eventually join Group 4, they will have to accept whatever the rest have decided.

Is it possible for Remaining Countries to participate in EU which will be renamed Western European Union? It is possible only if there is a swap with countries that are designated to be in Group 3. In the end, groups must have approximately equal populations. What if Greece (Hellas), Romania or Bulgaria are among the countries that do not want to exit EU?

It is impossible for these countries to be in Group 3 because of geographic location. Only Eastern European countries that are at the borders with Western Europe could be in Group 3. Also countries that change places should have approximately equal populations. There are certain combinations that could happen. For instance, Poland could be in Group 3, only if Italy participates in Group 4.

Suppose that there are countries willing to switch places. There is a danger that they may give a verbal affirmation but later they reconsider and no longer want to be in group 4. To be certain, these should leave EU with the Eastern European countries. So, although not necessary, all countries should exit EU simultaneously. If there could be swapping, those countries that exchange places, (Italy, Finland, Austria), should exit with the rest.

If changing places is not possible, all countries in Subgroup A should exit EU at the same time. Otherwise, they would have to do it later and be at a disadvantage. Not only they will not be able to participate in setting the foundations but they would also lag, compared to other countries which would have advanced regarding Group's matters and implementation of economic plan. Nevertheless, Exit should proceed, even if not all countries in Subgroup A do it.