Almost certain 88,2%

What is presented in Appendix 47 does not have to be final. There can still be changes. Placing Turkey in Coalition D will be very difficult. Balkan countries strongly oppose Turkey's placement in D. They are afraid that Turkey will try to interfere in Balkans, considering this their turf, since it was in Ottoman Empire. This is something unacceptable to Balkan countries.

They may only accept Turkey in D, if there are assurances that it will not interfere in Balkans and will be in a different division. Still, they would rather have Turkey placed in a different Coalition. It is not just Balkan countries but also other countries in Eastern Europe that do not want Turkey to participate in D. There is also an issue with Israel. Having Israel and Turkey in the same Coalition would be a very difficult situation.

AntiNWO does not object Israel being in Coalition C, with USA. It is absolutely fine, something not only acceptable but preferable because Israel's placement in D will also be very difficult. However, Israel may have a problem with its participation in C because of the the distance. Israel will be the only separate country, not in a continuous area. Suppose that Israel and Turkey want to participate in D but they do not want to be in the same Coalition.

There is opposition for both countries regarding their participation in D, for different reasons. Israel is considered as big trouble all over Eastern Europe while for Turkey, potential interference in Balkans is the main problem but other Eastern European countries also have objections. Which country should be chosen, Israel or Turkey? Israel should be chosen, only for one simple reason. Israel can't be placed in Coalition B with Iran and Lebanon but Turkey can.

For Turkey, there is another option which is probably better. For Israel, there is not such option, participation in B, although geographically it fits well in B. It is right next to Lebanon which is in B. So Turkey should be in B and Israel in D because Israel absolutely can't be in B. Is there a way to make participation in B better for Turkey and at the same time something Iran and China will prefer? There is a way!

People in Central Asian countries (Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan) and Azerbaijan originate from Altaic tribes, like people in Turkey. Turkey has good relations with these countries and wants to have even better. Also Iran and China may want them in their Coalition. Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan are next to China. Silk road goes through them. Silk road has a few routes, not just one.

Ancient Khorasan had parts of today's Pakistan, Afghanistan, Iran, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan. Suppose that Turkey and D4 (Azerbaijan-Central Asia) are in B. Kazakhstan should be an exception and remain in D. It has much higher GDP per capita (ppp) than the rest of D4 countries. It has close relations with Russia and the seventh largest population of Orthodox Christians. The percentage of B would increase to 27,24% while that of D will decrease to 23,52%. These should be more even.

There are four Subsaharan countries in Coalition B, Sudan Somalia  Djibouti, Comoros. They are next to the Subsaharan and the Arab area of Coalition D. These are considered part of the Arab world. Most of Arab countries are in Coalition D. China, Iran, Turkey care more to have Azerbaijan-Central Asia (except Kazakhstan) in their Coalition than the four Subsaharan Arab countries. If the four Subsaharan Arab countries are in B, the percentages of B and D become 26,4% and 24,4% respectively.

Turkey should be satisfied with this arrangement. If Azerbaijan - Central Asia (except Kazakhstan) are in B, Turkey will probably prefer B than D. Also China and Iran may like that. It is certain that Russia would prefer to have all D4 countries in Eastern Euorpe's Coaliton D. Russia will have to make some compromise, so that Turkey's problem can be solved. Although not entirely impossible, it will be very difficult to place Turkey in D.

Central Asia - Azerbaijan will not be with Western Europe or USA. D4 countries (except Kazakhstan) will be with Iran and China. Russia has good relations with them. However, a DECISION does NOT need to be MADE NOW or SOON. It is NOT necessary to make a DECISION regarding the PLACEMENT of ALL countries/areas. Coalitions can be incomplete for a long time and function very well.

We have presented two alternatives. One is in Appendix 45 and it is preferable. There are also variations of this alternative described in previous articles. The other alternative is in Appendix 47. It is not recommended but it solves some problems. Additionally, further changes can be made, as described in this article. What we observe is that there are some countries/areas that are always in the same Coalition.

Actually, most countries/areas are in both alternatives and their variations in the same Coalition. For MOST countries/areas, their PLACEMENT in one of the four Coalitions is ALMOST CERTAIN. We can't claim that it is 100% certain because there can be changes. But for most countries/areas, there are GOOD CHANCES that they will be PLACED in a SPECIFIC COALITION. This is shown in Appendix 48.

In Table 1, are the countries/areas that have uncertain placement and could be placed in two Coalitions. Their percentage is only 11,8%. For the other 88,2% PLACEMENT in a PARTICULAR COALITION is ALMOST CERTAIN. More specifically, the countries that are almost certain for A and B are in Table 2. In Table 1 of Appendix 48B are the countries/areas that are certain for Coalition C and in Table 2 those that are certain for Coalition D.

A very LARGE PART of all FOUR COALITIONS is ALMOST CERTAIN. The percentages are A 21,8%, B 24,4%, C 19,0%, D 23,0%. So the FORMATION of COALITIONS can PROCEED with the countries/areas that are ALMOST CERTAIN. The DECISION about the OTHER 11,8% can be made in the near or the distant future. There is no urgency regarding that decision.

Obviously, each one of the four Coalitons should have around 25% of the world's population, within an acceptable range. With the assistance of data analysts, decision makers will make very accurate calculations using recent data. For consistency, we have been using 2022 data. Although the populations have increased in absolute numbers, as percentages of the world's, they have not changed much.

As it can be seen in Table 1 of Appendix 48, there are four categories of uncertain countries/areas; 1) A or C 2) C or D 3) B or D 4) A or D. The decision regarding the placement of an area/country in A or C concerns mainly A, C and the area/country. The other two Coalitions can be involved only if A and C want them to be involved. Likewise, the decision in the other three categories concerns only C and D, B and D, A and D.